Balance of payments: AUGUST 2003
17/10/2003 - Press Releases
Current
account balance
In
August 2003, the current account showed a surplus, which was almost double that
of August 2002. This reflects almost equally a decrease in the trade deficit, an
increase in the services surplus and a rise in the transfers surplus; it also
reflects, but to a lesser extent, a decline in the income account deficit.
As regards the trade balance, the drop in the non-oil import bill was larger
than the decline in non-oil export receipts and, as a result, the non-oil trade
deficit narrowed. At the same time, the net oil import bill fell.
The
rise in the services surplus mainly stemmed from an increase in net transport (notably
sea transport) receipts. Net travel receipts fell only slightly, as the decline
in gross payments (i.e. residents’ expenditure abroad) almost offset the
decrease in gross receipts (i.e. non-residents’ expenditure in
Greece
). It should be stressed that the August 2003 and August 2002 travel balance
data are derived from a border survey and therefore are comparable. According to
these data, the 3% decline in receipts in August 2003 over the same month in
2002 was appreciably lower than the decrease recorded in June and July 2003.
The
income account deficit narrowed, mainly as a result of a decline in interest
payments on Greek government bonds, while the growth of the transfers surplus
mostly reflects the fact that net EU transfers to general government more than
doubled.
In
January-August 2003, the current account deficit was smaller than in the January-July
2003 period, because of the favourable August out-turn. In comparison with the
first eight months of 2002, the non-oil trade deficit fell, while the services
surplus grew. These positive developments were offset by a widening of the
income account deficit and the oil trade deficit and a narrowing of the
transfers surplus. As a result, the current account deficit rose by €390
million over the same period in 2002.
The
non-oil trade deficit decreased by €436 million in January-August 2003, as
export receipts grew by €218 million and the import bill declined by €217
million. At the same time, however, the net oil import bill rose by €466
million. Over the same period, the services surplus grew by €506 million, as
the increase in net transport receipts more than offset the decrease in net
travel receipts. (It should be recalled that the travel balance statistics for
the entire January-August 2003 period are not comparable with those in the
corresponding period of 2002, as their compilation on the basis of the relevant
border survey started in mid-May 2002). The income account deficit widened by
€510 million, mainly owing to increased net interest payments on Greek
government bonds, which are associated with a commensurate rise in non-residents’
holdings of such securities since the beginning of 2003. Finally, underlying the
narrowing (by €357 million) of the transfers surplus was a reduction in
transfers from the EU to general government, which more than offset the growth
of net transfers to the other sectors. It should be noted that the decrease in
net transfers from the EU to general government was observed in the first months
of 2003, while an increase has been recorded since June.
Financial
account balance
In
August 2003, financial flows under direct investment were low, the same as in
August 2002. Under portfolio investment, a net inflow of €792 million was
observed, mainly reflecting an inflow of funds for the purchase of Greek
government bonds by non-residents, which was partly offset by an outflow for
acquisition of foreign bonds by residents. Finally, as regards "other
investment", the net outflow of €1,189 million was mainly connected with
a decrease in liabilities stemming from the operation of the TARGET payments
system and with a decline in non-residents’ deposits and repo holdings in
Greece
. These outflows were partly offset by a substantial inflow associated with a
decline in domestic credit institutions’ and institutional investors’
deposits and repo holdings abroad.
In
January-August 2003, a large net inflow of €11,312 million was recorded under
portfolio investment. This development is mainly associated with an inflow of
foreign investors’ funds for the purchase of Greek government bonds, which
increased considerably year-on-year. At the same time, residents’ portfolio
investment abroad grew appreciably, mainly owing to the purchase by the Bank of
Greece of euro-denominated bonds issued by euro area Member States. At the same
time, in the context of the restructuring of its portfolio, the Bank of Greece
also reduced its holdings of non-euro area currencies and monetary gold, which
led to a corresponding reduction in its reserve assets. During the same period,
a net outflow of €638 million was observed under direct investment. Finally,
under ‘‘other investment’’, a net outflow of €9,211 million was
recorded. This is connected with a decrease in deposits and repo holdings by non-residents,
a considerable outflow of funds for residents’ (mainly credit institutions’)
deposits and repo holdings abroad, and substantial loan repayments mainly by
general government.
At
end-August 2003,
Greece
’s reserve assets stood at €5.1 billion. (It should be recalled that, since
Greece
joined the euro area in January 2001, reserve assets, as defined by the
European Central Bank, include only monetary gold, the "reserve position"
with the IMF, "Special Drawing Rights" and Bank of Greece claims in
foreign currency on residents of non-euro area countries. Conversely, reserve
assets do not include claims in euro on residents of non-euro area countries,
claims in foreign currency and in euro on residents of euro area countries and
the Bank of Greece participation in the capital and the reserve assets of the
ECB).
Note:
Balance of payments data for September 2003 will be released on
17 November 2003
.