Balance of payments OCTOBER 2003
17/12/2003 - Press Releases
Current account balance
In October 2003, the current account deficit narrowed
considerably year-on-year. This mainly came as a result of a decrease in the
trade deficit and, to a lesser extent, of an increase in the services surplus.
Specifically, the improvement of the trade balance is mainly
due to an increase in non-oil export receipts, as well as a decrease in the net
oil import bill. The small rise in the services surplus mainly stemmed from the
growth of net transport (notably sea transport) receipts and secondarily from ''other
services'' receipts, while net travel receipts declined. It should be stressed
that the October travel receipts and payments data are comparable
year-on-year and are derived from a border survey. With regard to the widening
of the income account deficit, this is mainly accounted for by a rise in net
interest, dividend and profit payments. Finally, the drop of the transfers
surplus mainly reflects a decrease in net EU transfers to general government.
In January-October 2003, the non-oil trade deficit
fell, while the services surplus grew. Despite these favourable developments,
the rise in net oil imports, the widening of the income account deficit and the
narrowing of the transfers surplus resulted in the current account deficit
reaching €5,805 million, i.e. a €307 million increase year-on-year. As a
result of a €395 million rise in non-oil export receipts in January-October
2003 and a decline of €184 million in the non-oil import bill, the non-oil
trade deficit narrowed by €579 million. By contrast, over the same period, the
net oil import bill increased by €454 million. Besides, the services surplus
grew, as the rise in net transport receipts more than offset the decrease in net
travel receipts. (It should be recalled that the travel balance statistics for
the entire January-October 2003 period are not comparable with
those in the corresponding period of 2002, as their compilation on the basis of
the relevant border survey started in mid-May 2002.) The income account deficit
widened by €571 million as a result of increased net interest payments on
Greek government bonds, owing to a rise in non-residents' holdings of such
securities since the beginning of 2003. Finally, underlying the €385 million
reduction in the transfers surplus was a decline in net EU transfers to general
government. This decrease more than offset the growth of net transfers to other
sectors.
Financial account balance
In October 2003, non-residents' financial flows for
direct investment in Greece were sizeable and were mainly accounted for by a
€398 million inflow for the acquisition of the Papastratos tobacco company by
Philip Morris. Under portfolio investment, a net outflow of €166 million
mainly concerns a decrease in non-residents' holdings of Greek government bonds,
which was largely offset by both residents' sales of foreign bonds and a rise in
non-residents' holdings of Greek companies' equities (mainly reflecting
acquisitions of National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank equity packages by
foreign institutional investors). Finally, as regards "other investment",
the net inflow of €484 million reflects an increase in non-residents' deposits
and repo holdings in Greece. This inflow was largely offset by a rise in
domestic credit institutions' and institutional investors' deposits and repo
holdings abroad.
In January-October 2003, a net outflow of €273
million was observed under direct investment. Over the same period, a
substantial net inflow of €11,154 million was recorded under portfolio
investment. This development is mainly associated with an inflow of foreign
investors' funds for the purchase of Greek bonds, which grew considerably in
comparison with the same period in 2002. At the same time, residents' portfolio
investment abroad grew considerably, mainly as a result of Bank of Greece's
investment in bonds issued by euro area Member States. In the context of its
portfolio restructuring, the Bank of Greece also reduced its holdings of non-euro
area currencies, which led to a corresponding reduction in its reserve assets.
Finally, under ''other investment'' a net outflow of €8,197 million was
recorded, which reflects residents' (mainly credit institutions') sizeable
outflows to deposits and repos abroad and substantial general government loan
repayments.
At end-October 2003, Greece's reserve assets came to €5.0
billion. (It should be recalled that, since Greece joined the euro area in
January 2001, reserve assets, as defined by the European Central Bank, include
only monetary gold, the "reserve position" with the IMF, "Special
Drawing Rights", and Bank of Greece claims in foreign currency on residents
of non-euro area countries. Conversely, reserve assets do not include claims in
euro on residents of non-euro area countries, claims in foreign currency and in
euro on residents of euro area countries, and the Bank of Greece participation
in the capital and the reserve assets of the ECB.)
Note: Balance of payments data for November 2003 will
be released on 23 January 2004. .